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Calculate the expected return on stock State of Economy Probablity of State % returns on stock -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Economic Recession 25 % -8.5% Boom 12% 15.6%

Calculate the expected return on stock

State of Economy Probablity of State % returns on stock

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Economic Recession 25 % -8.5%

Boom 12% 15.6%

Steady Economic Growth 63% 3.4%

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