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Calculate the Intrinsic Value of Google You will use the two-stage company-level Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation model to calculate the intrinsic value of your
Calculate the Intrinsic Value of Google You will use the two-stage company-level Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation model to calculate the intrinsic value of your chosen company.
- Calculate the Free Cash Flow based on most recent fiscal year data:
- Estimate the free cash flows (FCF) available to the firm. To do this you can use the below formula:
FCF = Cash Flow from Operations - Capital Expenditures + Interest * (1 - Tax Rate)
Cash Flow from Operations $53,971,000
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES = $24,915,000.
INTEREST = $86,000
Tax Rate: 13.66%
TTM Free Cash Flows: $29,129,252.40
WACC: 12%
- Conduct a two-stage valuation
- You can now combine the two items above to estimate a present value of the firm. You should calculate a high-growth phase value and a terminal value.
- High Growth Phase Value: For this phase, assume that in years 1 - 3 the Free Cash Flows are growing by 8% annually.
- Terminal Value: For this phase assume the FCF grow at a constant growth rate of 2.5%.
- Calculate the present values of the above phases and add them together for the total present value of the company.
- You can now combine the two items above to estimate a present value of the firm. You should calculate a high-growth phase value and a terminal value.
- Conduct a Sensitivity Analysis:
- Vary the following inputs to the two-tier valuation model and indicate the new valuation amount and the percentage change from the above "base" case.
- Free Cash Flows
- Increase the FCF by 10%
- Decrease the FCF by 10%
- Terminal Growth Rate
- Increase the Terminal Growth Rate from 2.5% to 3.5%
- Decrease the Terminal Growth Rate from 2.5% to 1.5%
- WACC
- Add 2% to the WACC (that is if the WACC is 7.5% make it 9.5%)
- Subtract 2% from the WACC (that is if the WACC is 7.5% make it 5.5%)
- Free Cash Flows
- Vary the following inputs to the two-tier valuation model and indicate the new valuation amount and the percentage change from the above "base" case.
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