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Case Study: Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores Sales (you can download the data from: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MRTSSM442USN ) Period of Data: Jan 2010 - Dec 2022, month,

Case Study: Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores Sales (you can download the data from: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MRTSSM442USN )

Period of Data: Jan 2010 - Dec 2022, month, seasonally unadjusted, (156 months)

Unit: millions of US $

This original series exhibit strong seasonal variation.

Apply EWMA (exponential smoothing), with alpha=0.5; and hence the dampening factor 0.5 to the data. What is the exponential-smoothed value for December 2022 (in million dollars)?

a) 12341.7 b. 12726.4 c. 12403.4 d. 12002.6

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