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Cerra Co. expects to receive 5 million euros tomorrow as a result of selling goods to the Netherlands. Cerra estimates the standard deviation of daily
Cerra Co. expects to receive 5 million euros tomorrow as a result of selling goods to the Netherlands. Cerra estimates the standard deviation of daily percentage changes of the euro to be 1 percent over the last 100 days. Assume that these percentage changes are normally distributed. Use the value-at-risk (VaR) method based on a 98 percent confidence level.
What is the maximum one-day percentage loss if the expected percentage change of the euro tomorrow is 0.5 percent?
A) -2.2%
B) -0.5%
C) -1.46%
D) -1.2%
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