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Chiptech, Inc., is an established computer chip firm with several profitable existing products as well as some promising new products in development. The company earned

Chiptech, Inc., is an established computer chip firm with several profitable existing products as well as some promising new products in development. The company earned $1.4 a share last year, and just paid out a dividend of $0.63 per share. Investors believe the company plans to maintain its dividend payout ratio at 45%. ROE equals 24%. Everyone in the market expects this situation to persist indefinitely.

a.

What is the market price of Chiptech stock? The required return for the computer chip industry is 15%, and the company has just gone ex-dividend (i.e., the next dividend will be paid a year from now, at t = 1).

b. Suppose you discover that Chiptechs competitor has developed a new chip that will eliminate Chiptechs current technological advantage in this market. This new product, which will be ready to come to the market in 2 years, will force Chiptech to reduce the prices of its chips to remain competitive. This will decrease ROE to 15%, and, because of falling demand for its product, Chiptech will decrease the plowback ratio to 0.4. The plowback ratio will be decreased at the end of the second year, at t = 2: The annual year-end dividend for the second year (paid at t = 2) will be 55% of that years earnings. What is your estimate of Chiptechs intrinsic value per share? ( Hint: Carefully prepare a table of Chiptechs earnings and dividends for each of the next 3 years. Pay close attention to the change in the payout ratio in t = 2.)

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