Question
Cocoa Bhd is ranked approximately in the middle of the thirty listed companies in the Malaysian snack food industry. The company is one of the
Cocoa Bhd is ranked approximately in the middle of the thirty listed companies in the Malaysian snack food industry. The company is one of the few home grown Malaysian consumer firms that have successfully penetrated regional markets.
Follows are the financial data for Cocoa Bhd:
PROFIT & LOSS (All figures in MYR mil unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
FY Dec | 2019 | 2020F | 2021F | 2022F | ||
Revenue | 260.8 | 261.6 | 259.5 | 279 | ||
Operating Profit | 30.6 | 44.8 | 46.6 | 51.6 | ||
Other Income | 2.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 3.2 | ||
Share of Associates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Depreciation/Amortization | -10.8 | -12.1 | -11.4 | -12.4 | ||
Finance Costs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Pre Tax Profit | 30.6 | 44.8 | 46.6 | 51.6 | ||
Tax | -8.7 | -12 | -11.2 | -12.9 | ||
Net Profit to Shareholders | 21.9 | 32.7 | 35.4 | 38.7 | ||
Operating Margin (%) | 11.8 | 17.1 | 17.9 | 18.5 | ||
PBT Margin (%) | 11.8 | 17.1 | 17.9 | 18.5 | ||
Net Margin (%) | 8.4 | 12.5 | 13.6 | 13.9 | ||
BALANCE SHEET (All figures in MYR mil unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
FY Dec | 2019 | 2020F | 2021F | 2022F | ||
Total Assets | 261.6 | 251.1 | 266.2 | 291.7 | ||
Fixed Assets | 139.1 | 129.6 | 130.2 | 138.2 | ||
Current Assets | 122.5 | 121.5 | 136 | 153.5 | ||
Current Liabilities | 35.7 | 38.5 | 34.9 | 37.1 | ||
LT Liabilities | 7.6 | 9.9 | 10 | 10.6 | ||
Total Liabilities | 43.3 | 48.4 | 45 | 47.7 | ||
Share Capital | 85.8 | 114.4 | 114.4 | 114.4 | ||
Minority Interest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Owners' Equity | 218.3 | 202.7 | 221.3 | 244 | ||
Total Equity | 218.3 | 202.7 | 221.3 | 244 | ||
Total Liabilities & Equity | 261.6 | 251.1 | 266.2 | 291.7 |
PER SHARE DATA (All figures in sen unless otherwise indicated) | |||||
FY Dec | 2019 | 2020F | 2021F | 2022F | |
Revenue | 114 | 114.4 | 113.4 | 121.9 | |
Cash Flow | 14.3 | 19.6 | 20.5 | 22.3 | |
Earnings | 9.6 | 14.3 | 15.5 | 16.9 | |
ROE (%) | 10 | 16.1 | 16 | 15.9 | |
Total Debt/Equity (%) | 19.8 | 23.9 | 20.3 | 19.6 |
OVERALL
Market Cap(Mil.): | RM459.89 |
Shares Outstanding(Mil.): | 228.80 |
Dividend (sen): | 0.03 |
Yield (%): | 3.67 |
Treasury-bill rate (%) | 3.9 |
Market returns (%) | 6.96 |
WACC equivalent to RROR | |
Stock Price as at Jan 3rd, 2020 | RM2.03 |
Provide below the historical prices for Cocoa Bhd and KLCI index:
Cocoa | KLCI | |
Date | Closing Price (RM) | Closing Price |
Dec 2018 | 2.01 | 1641.42 |
Jan 2019 | 2.1 | 1671.54 |
Feb 2019 | 2.15 | 1693.77 |
Mar 2019 | 2.46 | 1740.09 |
Apr 2019 | 2.67 | 1768.06 |
May 2019 | 2.74 | 1765.87 |
Jun 2019 | 3.05 | 1763.67 |
Jul 2019 | 3.14 | 1760.03 |
Aug 2019 | 2.72 | 1773.16 |
Sep 2019 | 2.8 | 1755.58 |
Oct 2019 | 2.83 | 1747.92 |
Nov 2019 | 2.75 | 1717.86 |
Dec 2019 | 2.61 | 1796.81 |
Required:
(a) Compute the standard deviation for Cocoa and KLCI Index. (14 marks)
(b) Identify the correlation coefficient between Cocoa and the KLCI Index.
(9 marks)
(c) Calculate the estimated operating free cash flows (FCFF) of Cocoa Bhd.
(15 marks)
(d) Calculate the discounted free cash flows (FCFF) and the value of Cocoa Bhd stock in early 2020. The company will grow at 2 percent constant annual growth in year 2022 onwards. Recommend your evaluation. (12 marks)
(e) Based on your analysis and evaluation of the stocks historical returns, financial data and your answers in (d), justify your recommendation. (10 marks)
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