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Cocoa Bhd is ranked approximately in the middle of the thirty listed companies in the Malaysian snack food industry. The company is one of the

Cocoa Bhd is ranked approximately in the middle of the thirty listed companies in the Malaysian snack food industry. The company is one of the few home grown Malaysian consumer firms that have successfully penetrated regional markets.

Follows are the financial data for Cocoa Bhd:

PROFIT & LOSS (All figures in MYR mil unless otherwise indicated)

FY Dec

2019

2020F

2021F

2022F

Revenue

260.8

261.6

259.5

279

Operating Profit

30.6

44.8

46.6

51.6

Other Income

2.5

4.5

6.5

3.2

Share of Associates

0

0

0

0

Depreciation/Amortization

-10.8

-12.1

-11.4

-12.4

Finance Costs

0

0

0

0

Pre Tax Profit

30.6

44.8

46.6

51.6

Tax

-8.7

-12

-11.2

-12.9

Net Profit to Shareholders

21.9

32.7

35.4

38.7

Operating Margin (%)

11.8

17.1

17.9

18.5

PBT Margin (%)

11.8

17.1

17.9

18.5

Net Margin (%)

8.4

12.5

13.6

13.9

BALANCE SHEET (All figures in MYR mil unless otherwise indicated)

FY Dec

2019

2020F

2021F

2022F

Total Assets

261.6

251.1

266.2

291.7

Fixed Assets

139.1

129.6

130.2

138.2

Current Assets

122.5

121.5

136

153.5

Current Liabilities

35.7

38.5

34.9

37.1

LT Liabilities

7.6

9.9

10

10.6

Total Liabilities

43.3

48.4

45

47.7

Share Capital

85.8

114.4

114.4

114.4

Minority Interest

0

0

0

0

Owners' Equity

218.3

202.7

221.3

244

Total Equity

218.3

202.7

221.3

244

Total Liabilities & Equity

261.6

251.1

266.2

291.7

PER SHARE DATA (All figures in sen unless otherwise indicated)

FY Dec

2019

2020F

2021F

2022F

Revenue

114

114.4

113.4

121.9

Cash Flow

14.3

19.6

20.5

22.3

Earnings

9.6

14.3

15.5

16.9

ROE (%)

10

16.1

16

15.9

Total Debt/Equity (%)

19.8

23.9

20.3

19.6

OVERALL

Market Cap(Mil.):

RM459.89

Shares Outstanding(Mil.):

228.80

Dividend (sen):

0.03

Yield (%):

3.67

Treasury-bill rate (%)

3.9

Market returns (%)

6.96

WACC equivalent to RROR

Stock Price as at Jan 3rd, 2020

RM2.03

Provide below the historical prices for Cocoa Bhd and KLCI index:

Cocoa

KLCI

Date

Closing Price (RM)

Closing Price

Dec 2018

2.01

1641.42

Jan 2019

2.1

1671.54

Feb 2019

2.15

1693.77

Mar 2019

2.46

1740.09

Apr 2019

2.67

1768.06

May 2019

2.74

1765.87

Jun 2019

3.05

1763.67

Jul 2019

3.14

1760.03

Aug 2019

2.72

1773.16

Sep 2019

2.8

1755.58

Oct 2019

2.83

1747.92

Nov 2019

2.75

1717.86

Dec 2019

2.61

1796.81

Required:

(a) Compute the standard deviation for Cocoa and KLCI Index. (14 marks)

(b) Identify the correlation coefficient between Cocoa and the KLCI Index.

(9 marks)

(c) Calculate the estimated operating free cash flows (FCFF) of Cocoa Bhd.

(15 marks)

(d) Calculate the discounted free cash flows (FCFF) and the value of Cocoa Bhd stock in early 2020. The company will grow at 2 percent constant annual growth in year 2022 onwards. Recommend your evaluation. (12 marks)

(e) Based on your analysis and evaluation of the stocks historical returns, financial data and your answers in (d), justify your recommendation. (10 marks)

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