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Company Tellsa is thinking of launching a new battery project which will last for the next 10 years with a cost of capital of 12%.

Company Tellsa is thinking of launching a new battery project which will last for the next 10 years with a cost of capital of 12%. The initial cost of the project is $12 Billion and will be depreciated to 0 salvage value on a straight line basis. The applicable tax rate is 50%. The following table presents the finance managers projections of the key input variables under different economic scenarios which will remain constant for the life of the project:

Range

Variable

Pessimistic

Expected

Optimistic

Market Size(Mil)

0.8

1

1.4

Market Share

0.05

0.1

0.15

Unit Price

$370,000

$400,000

$430,000

Unit Var Cost

$290,000

$250,000

$220,000

Fixed Cost (bil)

$5

$3

$1.50

  1. Perform a sensitivity analysis of the NPV of this project with respect to unit price using the unit price under pessimistic scenario. What happens to the NPV if the unit price changes: (Clue: Guess whether NPV will fall or increase from the nature of the variable scenario)
  2. If you want to perform a scenario analysis, estimate the optimistic OCF of the same project;
  3. If another manager believes that all of the key variables will change by +/- 10% over the expected case under different scenarios, what will be the best-case OCF?(clue, first estimate the key variables under the best-case)
  4. When presenting this new project, the financial managers also received queries on the break-even quantities of the new product to be sold Estimate the financial break-even (quantity) for this project.(Clue: Use the base case numbers with all zeroes for the relevant variables )
  5. Using the expected data from the same project what is the degree of operating leverage (DOL)?

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