Question
Company Tellsa is thinking of launching a new battery project which will last for the next 10 years with a cost of capital of 12%.
Company Tellsa is thinking of launching a new battery project which will last for the next 10 years with a cost of capital of 12%. The initial cost of the project is $12 Billion and will be depreciated to 0 salvage value on a straight line basis. The applicable tax rate is 50%. The following table presents the finance managers projections of the key input variables under different economic scenarios which will remain constant for the life of the project:
Range | |||
Variable | Pessimistic | Expected | Optimistic |
Market Size(Mil) | 0.8 | 1 | 1.4 |
Market Share | 0.05 | 0.1 | 0.15 |
Unit Price | $370,000 | $400,000 | $430,000 |
Unit Var Cost | $290,000 | $250,000 | $220,000 |
Fixed Cost (bil) | $5 | $3 | $1.50 |
- Perform a sensitivity analysis of the NPV of this project with respect to unit price using the unit price under pessimistic scenario. What happens to the NPV if the unit price changes: (Clue: Guess whether NPV will fall or increase from the nature of the variable scenario)
- If you want to perform a scenario analysis, estimate the optimistic OCF of the same project;
- If another manager believes that all of the key variables will change by +/- 10% over the expected case under different scenarios, what will be the best-case OCF?(clue, first estimate the key variables under the best-case)
- When presenting this new project, the financial managers also received queries on the break-even quantities of the new product to be sold Estimate the financial break-even (quantity) for this project.(Clue: Use the base case numbers with all zeroes for the relevant variables )
- Using the expected data from the same project what is the degree of operating leverage (DOL)?
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