Question
Conduct some market research to find out what has been happening to your stock for the last 5 years. Based on what we learnt, there
- Conduct some market research to find out what has been happening to your stock for the last 5 years. Based on what we learnt, there must be two primary sources which cause the prices of your stock to plunge (i.e. decline) at certain times; Unsystematic risk and Systematic risk. Highlight two specific down periods where one is caused by unsystematic risk and the other by systematic risk.
- For each, discuss the real-event in detail and how it affected the company performance on the day (or over the days) by referring to price changes (You can have a look at daily price changes in Yahoo by following 1.e. in Part I and changing the option to 'Daily'). Clearly discuss through what channels company performance would have been affected.
- For each, discuss how S&P/ASX200 responded on the same day (or over the days) by referring to value changes.
- Discuss your findings with reference to the impact of unsystematic and systematic risks.
- If your answer contains plagiarised materials, no marks will be given.
- Discuss how strongly (or weakly) your stock is correlated with the market index, S&P/ASX200 by referring to an appropriate measure in Part I.
- Discuss which asset, your stock or the market index (S&P/ASX200), is more sensitive to the changes in economic conditions by referring to an appropriate measure in Part I.
- What is the standard deviation of your stock and the standard deviation of the market index? What is the standard deviation of a portfolio composed of 60% your stock and 40% the market index? Compare standard deviations and show that you were able to achieve diversification benefits by combining two assets.
- Suppose that you consider forming a two-asset portfolio by investing 60% of your wealth in your first stock and 40% in the market index.
5.1. Compute the beta of your portfolio.
5.2 Compute the required return of your portfolio. Use 6.5% as a market risk premium and the 10-year government bond rate on 31 July 2020 as a risk-free rate. The 10-year government bond rates can be obtained from http://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/index.html#interest-rates. See "Capital market yields - Government bonds-daily" under Interest Rates. The units of rates shown are per cent (%) per annum.
5.3 Compute the expected return of your portfolio using the annual average return. (Note:
Calculate the annual average return of an individual asset using the formula given in Q2, Part I. Each interval is to be July in Year t to July in Year t+1.)
5.4 Is your portfolio overpriced or underpriced and why? Consequently, which recommendation would you make, "Buy/Hold" or "Sell/don't buy"? [9 marks] Please show all your relevant calculations and justify your decision using the Security
Market Line. Label X-axis, Y-axis and intercept. Clearly present values on X- and Y- axis when you locate your portfolio in the graph.
- Looking at the average monthly return and standard deviation ofS&P/ASX200, can you be 95% confident that this market portfolio will not lose more than 10% of its value in August 2020?
- In this assignment, you have learnt how to estimate rE. Thoroughly describe how you did it and comment on the importance of rE.
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