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Consider a comparison between interest rates in two different periods, 1961 and 1974. In 1960, annual interest rates were around 6% and credit was readily
Consider a comparison between interest rates in two different periods, 1961 and 1974. In 1960, annual interest rates were around 6% and credit was readily available for families who wanted to buy homes. The inflation rate was 1%. By 1974, the interest rate had reached 9 percent while new home construction came to a halt and mortgage funds dried up in many parts of the country. In 1974 (during that single year) prices rose by about 12%.
- Is a direct comparison between these two interest rates meaningful or useful? Explain.
- Take the perspective of lenders, the banks offering mortgage loans, in 1961. For a simple analysis of this perspective, suppose you lend $100,000 for one year at a rate of 6% interest. How much do you have in nominal terms at the end of the year? How much in terms of purchasing power?
- Next, take the perspective of lenders in 1974. If you lend $100,000 for one year at a rate of 9% interest, how much do you have at the end of the year? How much in terms of purchasing power?
- During the 1970s policy makers in some states advocated interest rate ceilings to keep interest rates from climbing too high. Connect this and parts b and c to explain the credit market situation (i.e. the availability of funds for mortgage loans) in 1974.
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