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Consider a dataset with n data points (x, y), x, ERP, following the following linear model +t, i=1. where ; N(0,02) are i.i.d. Gaussian

 

Consider a dataset with n data points (x, y), x, ERP, following the following linear model +t, i=1. where ; N(0,02) are i.i.d. Gaussian noise with zero mean and variance o. (a) (5 points) Show that the ridge regression, which introduces a squared 2 norm penalty on the parameter in the maximum likelihood estimate of can be written as follows B(A) = arg min {XB-y|| + ||||} for property defined matrix X and vector y. (b) (5 points) Find the close-form solution for B(A) and its distribution conditioning on {x}. (c) (5 points) Derive the bias as a function of A and some fixed test point x. (d) (5 points) Derive the variance term as a function of A. (e) (5 points) Now assuming the data are one-dimensional, the training dataset consists of two samples x = 0.15 and x2 = 1.1, and the test sample x = 1. The true parameter 3 = -1, B = 1, the noise variance is given by 2 = 0.5. Plot the MSE (Bias square plus variance) as a function of the regularization parameter A. (f) (5 points) Now change the test sample to be a x = 1.5, and keep everything else to be the same as in the previous question. Plot the MSE (Bias square plus variance) as a function of the regularization parameter A, and comment on the difference from the previous result.

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