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Consider a firm, whose marginal probabilities of default in each year are as follows: Year Marginal probability of default (%) 1 2.7 2 6.6 3

Consider a firm, whose marginal probabilities of default in each year are as follows:

Year Marginal probability of default (%)
1 2.7
2 6.6
3 4.1
4 2.8
5 9.4

Calculate the firm's 4-year cumulative probability of default.

(If your solution is 4.44% then enter "4.44" as the answer. Precision is 0.01+/- 0.02.)

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