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Consider a problem with competitive erosion due to substitute product arrivals ( delta V = 0 . 0 4 ) but with a stochastic

Consider a problem with competitive erosion due to substitute product arrivals (\delta V =0.04)
but with a stochastic development cost I. Noble is facing an investment opportunity to pay a
stochastic cost (with time-0 value I0=80 M) within 1 year to acquire the project by T =1(with time-
0 present value of cash flows V0=100 M). The asset (project) value, V, currently at 100 M, is
expected (with equal actual probability, q =0.5) at the end of the period to either rise to V+
=200 M
(double) or fall to V-
=50 M (half). The standard deviation of project returns is \sigma V =69.3%. The
annual risk-free interest rate (r) over the period is 5%. The project V has a dividend-like payout (due
to competitive erosion) of \delta V =0.04. The cost I has a dividend-like payout of \delta I =0.03 and \sigma I =15%.
The correlation coefficient (\rho ) between the rates of change in V and I is 0.5.
(i) Calculate the value of a European call option to invest in project V with a stochastic cost I
(and \delta V =0.04) within T =1 year using a relevant analytic formula. To calculate N(d) you can
use function NORMSDIST(d) in Exce
(ii) In the previous problem, determine the value of an American call option on project V with
maturity T =1 year using a 1-D binomial tree with N =2 steps (dt =0.5). You would need to
re-estimate the adjusted (with ) u, d and p (using N =2 steps instead of 1 step per year).
Again, V0=100, I0=80,\sigma V =69.3%,\sigma I =15%,\delta V =0.04,\delta I =0.03,\rho =0.5, r =5%. Please
show all relevant calculations of intermediate parameters (e.g., relative \sigma , adjusted u, d and
p) and show the two-step binomial trees for project value V and for the investment option
(first European and then American option). Show the option value calculations along the tree
on the side.

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