Question
Consider an open economy with a fixed exchange rate at time t. Suppose that initially financial market participants believe that the government is committed to
Consider an open economy with a fixed exchange rate at time t. Suppose that initially financial market participants believe that the government is committed to maintaining the fixed exchange rate. Suppose at time t+1 the central bank announces a devaluation.The exchange rate will remain fixed, but at a new level, where the new fixed exchange rate is below the initial fixed exchange rate. At the new level of fixed exchange rate, assume that financial market participants believe that there will be no further devaluation and that the government will remain committed to maintaining the exchange rate.
a) Draw an IS-LM-UIP diagram for this economy. Consider the change in the expected exchange rate. (9 marks)
b) Based on your answer in (a), what would happen to the domestic interest rate if there is no change in the domestic money supply? Explain in suitable diagram and equation. (8 marks)
c) Assume that the financial market participants to expect another devaluation at time t+2. How does the expectation affect the nominal exchange rate, real exchange rate, domestic interest rate and domestic output? Explain in suitable diagram and equation. (8 marks)
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