Question
Consider an updated set of data for the previous problem. Dam construction cost $830 million (range 750 to 950) Weather Net Benefit (millions) Probability Dry
Consider an updated set of data for the previous problem.
Dam construction cost $830 million (range 750 to 950)
Weather | Net Benefit (millions) | Probability |
Dry | $36 (range 30 to 40) | 86% (range 80 to 90) |
Wet | $58 (range 50 to 80) | 12% (range 15 to 9) |
Flood | $104 (range 80 to 200) | 2% (range 5 to 1) |
a. Keeping the discount rate the same, compute the "best case" for the dam when weather and dam construction costs may vary. Find the PV(E(NB)) and make a recommendation. b. Keeping the discount rate the same, compute the "worst case" for the dam when weather and dam construction costs may vary. Find the PV(E(NB)) and make a recommendation. c. Return to the baseline scenario (previous problem) and recompute for 3% and 7% discount rates. Find the PV(E(NB)) and make a recommendation for each.
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