Question
Consider the following data for Nike. Nike had sales of $25,300 million in 20122012. Nike expects its sales to grow at a rate of 1010%
Consider the following data for Nike. Nike had sales of
$25,300
million in
20122012.
Nike expects its sales to grow at a rate of
1010%
in
20132013
but then slow by
1 %1%
to the long-run growth rate that is characteristic of the apparel industry,
55%,
by
20182018.
Based on Nike's past profitability and investment needs, you expect EBIT to be
1010%
of sales, increases in net working capital requirements to be
10%
of any increases in sales, and capital expenditures to equal depreciation expenses. Nike also has
$3.3
billion in cash,
$1.2
billion in debt,
893.6
million shares outstanding, a tax rate of
24%,
and a WACC of
10%
a. Suppose you believe Nike's initial revenue growth rate will be between
7 %
and
11 %
(with growth slowing linearly to
55%
by year
2018
What range of prices for Nike stock is consistent with these forecasts?
b. Suppose you believe Nike's initial revenue EBIT margin will be between
9 %
and
11 %
of sales. What range of prices for Nike stock is consistent with these forecasts?
c. Suppose you believe Nike's WACC is between
9.5%
and
12%.
What range of prices for Nike stock is consistent with these forecasts?
d. What range of stock prices is consistent if you vary the estimates as in parts a, b, and c simultaneously?
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