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Consider the following Profit Payoff Table: State of Nature Decision Alternative S1 S2 S3 d1 250 100 25 d2 100 100 75 The probabilities for
Consider the following Profit Payoff Table:
| State of Nature | ||
Decision Alternative | S1 | S2 | S3 |
d1 | 250 | 100 | 25 |
d2 | 100 | 100 | 75 |
The probabilities for the states of nature are
P(S1) = 0.65,
P(S2) = 0.15, and
P(S3) = 0.20.
- What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information were available?
- What is the expected value for the decision strategy developed in part (a)?
- Using the expected value approach, what is the recommended decision without perfect information? What is its expected value?
- What is the expected value of perfect information?
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