Consider the following project data: A Shs 4 million feasibility study will be conducted at t =0. If the study indicates potential, the firm will spend Shs 20 million at t= 1 to build a prototype. The best estimate is that there is an 80% chance that the study will indicate potential and 20% chance that it will not. If reception of the prototype is good the firm will spend Sh. 700 million to build a production plant at t=2. The best estimate is that there is a 70% chance that the prototypes reception will be poor. If the plant is built, theres a 60% chance of a t=3 cash inflow of Shs 600 million and a 40% chance of Shs 300 million cash inflow. If the inflow at t=3 is Shs 600 million, there are 30% and 70% chances of Shs 320 million and Shs 180 million inflows respectively at t=4. If the inflow at t=3 is Shs 300 million, there are 80% and 20% chances of Shs 420 million and Shs 280 million inflows respectively at t=4. The plant has a salvage value of Shs 100 million at t=5.

If the appropriate cost of capital is 14% what is the projects expected NPV?