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Consider the following sales data measured in millions of dollars. Date Time Sales (millions of dollars) MA CMA Seasonal Factors Seasonal Index 2015Q1 1 14
- Consider the following sales data measured in millions of dollars.
Date | Time | Sales (millions of dollars) | MA | CMA | Seasonal Factors | Seasonal Index |
2015Q1 | 1 | 14 | ||||
2015Q2 | 2 | 16 | ||||
2015Q3 | 3 | 18 | ||||
2015Q4 | 4 | 30 | ||||
2016Q1 | 5 | 17 | ||||
2016Q2 | 6 | 19 | ||||
2016Q3 | 7 | 19 | ||||
2016Q4 | 8 | 28 | ||||
2017Q1 | 9 | 12 | ||||
2017Q2 | 10 | 17 | ||||
2017Q3 | 11 | 20 | ||||
2017Q4 | 12 | 29 |
- Find a four-period moving average for each quarter.
b) Find the centered moving averages for the sample.
Find the seasonal factors for the sample.
Find the seasonal index. Interpret the index for each quarter.
Please describe how would you estimate the long-term trend and measure the cyclical factor (no need for computation, just explain).
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