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Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds Recession 0.30 6 % 15 % Normal economy 0.60 18 % 8 %

Consider the following scenario analysis:

Rate of Return
Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds
Recession 0.30 6 % 15 %
Normal economy 0.60 18 % 8 %
Boom 0.10 26 % 5 %

a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms?

multiple choice

  • No

  • Yes

b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answers as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.)

c. Which investment would you prefer?

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