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Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds Recession .20 8 % +19 % Normal economy .50 +20 +10 Boom .30
Consider the following scenario analysis: |
Rate of Return | |||||
Scenario | Probability | Stocks | Bonds | ||
Recession | .20 | 8 | % | +19 | % |
Normal economy | .50 | +20 | +10 | ||
Boom | .30 | +25 | +6 | ||
a. | Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? | ||
|
b. | Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 1 decimal place.) |
Expected Rate of Return | Standard Deviation | |
Stocks | % | % |
Bonds | % | % |
c. | Which investment would you prefer? | ||
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