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Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds Recession 0.20 4 % 19 % Normal economy 0.40 20 % 9 %

Consider the following scenario analysis:

Rate of Return
Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds
Recession 0.20 4 % 19 %
Normal economy 0.40 20 % 9 %
Boom 0.40 26 % 8 %

a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms?

  • No

  • Yes

b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answers as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.)

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