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Consider the following scenario analysis: Scenario. Recession Normal economy Boom Probability .30 .50 .20 Stocks Bonds Rate of Return Expected Rate of Return Stocks

 

Consider the following scenario analysis: Scenario. Recession Normal economy Boom Probability .30 .50 .20 Stocks Bonds Rate of Return Expected Rate of Return Stocks -4% a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? Yes No % % 17 28 b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answers as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.) Bonds 16% 10 9 Standard Deviation % %

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