Question
Consider the following Table of information: Table: Annual return forecasts Index components Weight Expected return Variance Correlation Stock 75% 6.81% 0.0289 0.3 Bonds 25% 1.40%
Consider the following Table of information:
Table: Annual return forecasts
Index components | Weight | Expected return | Variance | Correlation |
---|---|---|---|---|
Stock | 75% | 6.81% | 0.0289 | 0.3 |
Bonds | 25% | 1.40% | 0.0064 |
The average coefficient of risk-aversion of market is 3. The variance of the equilibrium model expected returns is 10% of the sample variance.
Manager's view: The manager believes that in the next month, bonds will outperform stocks by 0.5% with estimation standard error 1.73%.
a) What are the advantages of the Black-Litterman model over the Markowitz model?
b) In this model, how do you express the confidence of the manager in his/her view? How do you represent the managers view with error representation mathematically?
c) What is the posterior expectations after incorporating the managers view?
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