Question
Consider the following time series data. Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 1 4 6 7 2 2 3 6 3 3 5 6
Consider the following time series data.
Quarter | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
1 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
2 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
4 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
(a) | Choose 1 the correct time series plot. | ||||||||||||
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- Select your answer -Plot (i)Plot (ii)Plot (iii)Plot (iv)Item 1 | |||||||||||||
What type of pattern exists in the data? | |||||||||||||
- Select your answer -Positive trend pattern, no seasonalityHorizontal pattern, no seasonalityNegative trend pattern, no seasonalityPositive trend pattern, with seasonalityHorizontal pattern, with seasonalityItem 2 | |||||||||||||
(b) | Use a multiple regression model with dummy variables as follows to develop an equation to account for seasonal effects in the data: Qtr1 = 1 if Quarter 1, 0 otherwise; Qtr2 = 1 if Quarter 2, 0 otherwise; Qtr3 = 1 if Quarter 3, 0 otherwise. | ||||||||||||
If required, round your answers to three decimal places. For subtractive or negative numbers use a minus sign even if there is a + sign before the blank (Example: -300). If the constant is "1" it must be entered in the box. Do not round intermediate calculation. | |||||||||||||
Value = + Qtr1 + Qtr2 + Qtr3 | |||||||||||||
(c) | Compute the quarterly forecasts for the next year based on the model you developed in part (b). | ||||||||||||
If required, round your answers to three decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculation. | |||||||||||||
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please answer them correctly |
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