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Consider two undeveloped land sites. At site 1 , the highest and best use ( HBU ) is a warehouse that would cost $ 1

Consider two undeveloped land sites. At site 1, the highest and best use (HBU) is a warehouse that would cost $1MM to build (exclusive of land cost) and would then generate annual net rents of $150,000, which are expected to grow at 3% per year. At site 2, the HBU is an apartment building that can generate net rents of $800,000, projected to grow at 1% per year, with a construction cost of $5MM. Suppose investors buying built properties require an initial annual return of 12% minus the expected annual growth rate in the net income, as a percent of the investment cost. For example, they would want an initial yield or cap rate of 9% for the warehouse. Suppose the land value for site 1 is $1MM, and the land value for site 2 is $2MM. On which of these sites is currently profitable to undertake construction?

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