Constant Growth Valuation is a fundamental concept in finance. The value of the firm's stock is the present value of its expected future dividends. If D, stands for dividend at period t and rs is the required rate of return, which is a riskless nate plus a risk premium, then the expected value of firm's stock is determined as follows: Vatue of atook, P0=PV of apected fieture dividends =1=1t+1,1a For many companies it is reasonabie to predict that dividends will grow at a constant rate, 8 . Thus, the previous equation may be rewritten as follows: =g2tman=D1+FB1 If the stock is in equilibrium, r, must equal the expected dividend yield plus an expected capital gains yield. Thus, you can soive for an expected rate of retumy j= =r0a1+z Constant Growth Valuation is a fundamental concept in finance. The value of the firm's stock is the present value of its expected future dividends. If D, stands for dividend at period t and rs is the required rate of return, which is a riskless nate plus a risk premium, then the expected value of firm's stock is determined as follows: Vatue of atook, P0=PV of apected fieture dividends =1=1t+1,1a For many companies it is reasonabie to predict that dividends will grow at a constant rate, 8 . Thus, the previous equation may be rewritten as follows: =g2tman=D1+FB1 If the stock is in equilibrium, r, must equal the expected dividend yield plus an expected capital gains yield. Thus, you can soive for an expected rate of retumy j= =r0a1+z Suppose that D0=$1.00 and the stock's last closing price is $15.85. It is expected that earnings and dividends will grow at a constant rate of g=3.505 per year and that the stock's price will grow at this same rate. Let us assume that the stock is fairly priced, that is, it is in equilibrium, and the most approprlate required nate of return is rf=10.00%. The dividend received in period 1 is D1=$1.00(1+0.0350)=$1.04 and the estimated intrinsic value in the same period is based on the constant growth model: P1=r1=1D1. Using the same-logic, compute the dividends, prices, and the present value of each of the dividends at the end of each period. The dividend yileld for period 1 is and it will each period The capital gain yield expecteos during period 1 is and it will eseh period. If is is forecasted that the total retum equals 10.00% for the next 5 yean, what is the forecasted total retum out to infinity? 3.5044 6.5044 10.00% 6.50% 10.00\% 13.5004 expected total return is equal to the required rate of return r.. If the market was more optimistic and the growth rate would be. 5.50%. rather than stock a "Buy", Suppose that the growth rate is expected to be 2.50%. In this case, the stock's forecasted intrinsic value would be its current Drice, and the stock would be a Suppese D0=1 and D1=$1.04 and it is expected that earmings and dividends wiil grow at a censtant rate of 3.S0 per year and that the When the growth rate is: years from today the required rate of refum, you can use the following formula to calculate the price of the stock 5 P0(gr1)P0(1+g)4P1(1+8)3P0(xF4)3 And the price of the stock. 5 years from today is Step 3+ Practice: Constant Growth Vatuationt Now it's bine for you to practice what you've learned. Suppase that a stock is expected to pay a dividend of \$4.70 ot the end of this year and it is expected to geow at a canstant rate of 3.5096 a yeor. If it is required return is 10,00%. What is the stocicts expected price. 5 years from today? 560,BB 569.86 $27231 What is the stock's expected price 5 years from today? $60.88$69.86 $72.31 $85.88 What is the stock's expected price 5 years from today? $60.88$69.86 $72.31 $85.88 Constant Growth Valuation is a fundamental concept in finance. of return, which is a riskless rate plus a risk premium, then the expected value of firm's stock is determined as follows: Value of stock, P0=PV of expected future dividends =(1+e2)1D1+(t+r1)3D1++(1+r1)2D=i=1(1+r1yD2 For many companies it is reasonable to predict that dividends will grow at a constant rate, g. Thus, the previous equation may be rewritten as follows: =t0tb0(1+n)=rc1D1 If the stock is in equilibrium, r, must equal the expected dividend yield plus an expected capital gains yield. Thus, you can solve for an expected Expected rate of return, T3= Expecied dividend yield + Expected growth rute, or capital gain yeld =nD1+g Suppose that D0=$1.00 and the stock's last closing price is $15.85. It is expected that eamings and dividends will grow at a constant rate of g=3.50% per year and that the stock's price will grow at this same rate. Let us assume that the stock is fairly priced, that is, it is in equilibrium, and the most appropriate required rate of return is rs=10.00%. The dividend received in period 1 is D1=$1.00(1+0.0350)=$1.04 and the estimated intrinsic value in the same period is based on the constant growth model: P1=rjgDI. Using the same logic, compute the-dividends, prices, and the present value of each of the dividends at the end of each period. The dividend yield for period 1 is and it will each period. The capital gain yield expected during period 1 is and it will each period. If it is forecasted that the total return equals 10.00% for the next 5 years, what is the forecasted total return out to infinity? 3.50% 6.50% 10.00% 10.00% 13.50% Note that this stock is called a "Hold" as its forecasted intrinsic value is equal to its current price P0=b,8D1=00000.050s1.04=$15.85 and the expected total return is equal to the required rate of return rx. If the market was more optimistic and the growth rate would be 5.50% rather than 3.50%, the stock's forecasted intrinsic value would be P0=010000.0550s104=$22.89, which is greater than $15.85. In this case, you would call the stock a "Buy". Suppose that the growth rate is exbected to be 2.50%. In this case, the stock's forecasted intrinsic value would be its current price, and the stock would be a 5tep 2: Learn: Constant Growth Valuation Wotch the following video for an example, then answer the question that follows. Suppose D0=1 and D1=$1.04 and it is expected that earnings and dividends will grow at a constant rate of 3.50% per year and that the stock's price will grow at this same rate. Let us assume that the stock is fairly priced and the required rate of return is 10.00%. When the growth rate is the required rate of return, you can use the following formula to calculate the price of the stock 5 years from today P0(grs)P0(1+g)5P1(1+g)5P0(gr3)5 And the price of the stock 5 years from today is Step 3: Practice: Constant Growth Valuation Now it's time for you to practice what you've learned. Suppose that a stock is expected to pay a dividend of \$4.70 at the end of this year and it is expected to grow at a constant rate of 3.50% a year. If it is required return is 10.00%. What is the stock's expected price 5 years from today? 560.88 $69.86 Now it's time for you to practice what you've learned. Suppose that a stock is expected to pay a dividend of $4.70 at the end of this year and it is expected to grow at a constant rate of 3.50% a year. If it is required leturn is 10.00%. What is the stock's expected price 5 years from today? $60.88 $69.86 $72.31 $85.88