Question
Construct a tree probability diagram (similar to the book) based on the following data. An Iphone has been sent to your warehouse to be fixed,
Construct a tree probability diagram (similar to the book) based on the following data. An Iphone has been sent to your warehouse to be fixed, based on the historical data that you have, you determine that it could be one of three issues (the operating system, the keyboard or the screen). Unsure as to the exact reason, you base the probability of success based on the historical data of similar phones that have been sent in There is a 80% probability that it is the operating system in which there is a 25% probability that the phone will be fixed and a 75% probability it wont not be fixed. There is a 20% probability that it is the keyboard in which there is a 50% probability that the phone will be fixed and a 50% probability it wont be fixed. There is a 10% probability that it is the screen in which there is a 90% probability that the phone will be fixed and a 10% probability it wont be fixed Task: Construct a tree diagram based on the above information. Once the tree diagram is constructed, calculate the equations for each probability. The phone being fixed and not fixed based on the probability that it is the screen, the keyboard and the operating system. Once you have calculated the equations calculate the Baye's Rule equation for the probability of the screen being fixed. Baye's Rule is P. (Screen I Fixed) = P (Screen and Fixed) / P (Fixed)
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