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Context Suppose we have an imaginary economy with a lot of entrepreneurs. Each entrepreneur needs extemal funding of IDR 1 0 0 million for a

Context
Suppose we have an imaginary economy with a lot of entrepreneurs. Each entrepreneur needs
extemal funding of IDR 100 million for a project. There are two risk categories for the project:
high-risk and low-risk. The cash flow returs of a high-risk project equals IDR $500 million
(probability =0.25) and IDR 0(poobubility=1-0.25=0.75). On the other hand, the low-risk project
generates cash flows IDR 125 million, always (probability=1). By assuming risk-neutrality
(universal) and the risk-free rate is zero (no discounting), cach project creates IDR 125 million on
average. The eatrepreneurs have positive NPV, since 125-100>0.
However, the bank does not kow the probability to generate the cash flow for each peoject,
but the entrepreneur know. Sappose the bank can't find a way to know the riskisness of a project
by serecaing the project. The bank only knows the estimated probability for low-risk projects,
which equals to 20% of all case. The entrepreneur takes his project only if he las a strictly positive
expected payoff, by taking into account what he has to pay back to the bank. We may assume that
the economy has perfect competitices is the credit market.
Questions
1. Suppose that the bank has following statemeat: "With probability 0.8 the project is a high-risk,
the project fils to generate cash flow with probability 0.75, and with probabliny 0.2 the project is
a low-risk project. So to create a break even condition, the bank needs to charge an interest rate r
by using: 0.80.25100(1+r)+0.2100(1+n)=100." Is there any creditworthy entrepreneur who
would accept the interest rate? What is wrong with this statement?
2. By assuming debt financing, what interest rate be back will charge in the equilibrium condition?
and what kind of projects are financed by the bank? Who is credit rationed?
3. By using equity financing, the bank bolds some share (a>0) of the firm, which implies the
bank will receive share of from the firm"s casl flows. Proof that the bank would finance both
high and low risk projects. In addition, both high and low risk project holders pay the "fair" capital
cost. Explain.
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