Question
County judges try thousands of cases per year.In an overwhelming majority of cases disposed, the verdict stands as rendered.However, some cases are appealed, and of
County judges try thousands of cases per year.In an overwhelming majority of cases disposed, the verdict stands as rendered.However, some cases are appealed, and of those appealed, some of the cases are reversed.Kristen DelGuzzi a newspaper reporter conducted a study of cases handled by County judges over a three-year period.Shown in the tables on pages 2 and 3 are the results for 214,047 cases handled (disposed) by 42 judges in Common Pleas Court, Domestic Relations Court and Municipal Court.Two of the judges (Dinkelacker and Hogan) did not serve in the same court for the entire three-year period.Use the data on pages 2 and 3 for this assignment;
The purpose of the newspaper's study was to evaluate the performance of the judges.Appeals often are the result of mistakes made by judges and the newspaper wanted to know which judges were doing a good job and which were making too many mistakes.You are called in to assist in the data analysis.Use your knowledge of probability and conditional probability to help with the ranking of the judges.You should also be able to analyze the likelihood of appeal and reversal for cases handled by different courts.
Managerial Report:
First, include your name as one of the judges in anyoneof the three courts; thenadd numbers of total cases disposed, appealed cases and reversed cases for yourself that are within the range of datacurrently stated.
rankings of the judges.
Include an analysis of the likelihood of Appealed cases and case Reversals in each of the three courts.
At a minimum, your report should include the following five (5) items in your report:
1.The probability of cases being appealed and reversed in the three differentcourts.
2.The probability of a case being appealed for eachjudge.
3.The probability of a case being reversed for eachjudge.
4.The probability of a reversalgivenan appeal for eachjudge.
5.Rank the judges within each court.State the criteria you used to rank the judges.
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