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Covered versus uncovered interest arbitrage On May 3 1 , Felix, an American investor, decided to buy three - month Treasury bills. He found that
Covered versus uncovered interest arbitrage
On May Felix, an American investor, decided to buy threemonth Treasury bills. He found that the perannum interest rate on threemonth
Treasury bills is in New York and in Tokyo, Japan. Based on this information and assuming that tax costs and other transaction costs are
negligible in the two countries, it is in Felix's best interest to purchase threemonth Treasury bills in
because it allows him to earn
more for the three months.
On May the spot rate for the yen was $ and the selling price of the threemonth forward yen was $ At that time, Felix chose to ignore
this difference in exchange rates. In three months, however, the spot rate for the yen rose to $ per yen.
When Felix converted the investment proceeds back into US dollars, his actual return on investment was
As a result of this transaction, Felix realizes that there is great uncertainty about how many dollars he will receive when the Treasury bills mature. So
he decides to adjust his investment strategy to eliminate this uncertainty.
What should Felix's strategy be the next time he considers investing in Treasury bills?
Exchange large amounts of domestic currency for foreign currency.
Sell enough foreign currency on the forward market to match the anticipated proceeds from the investment.
Exchange half of the anticipated proceeds of the investment for foreign currency.
Had Felix used the covered interest arbitrage strategy on May his net return on investment relative to purchasing the US Treasury bills in
Japanese threemonth Treasury bills would be
Note: Assume that the cost of obtaining the cover is zero.
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