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Dairy cows ~ The USDA collects and distributes a wide variety of data about agriculture in the United States. One statistic reported each year is

Dairy cows ~ The USDA collects and distributes a wide variety of data about agriculture in the United States. One statistic reported each year is the number of milk cows (in thousands) in each state. A random sample of 10 states is selected, with the number of milk cows reported in both 2011 and 2015.

State 2011 2015 Difference
North Carolina 45 47 2
South Dakota 91 106 15
Washington 260 277 17
Colorado 128 146 18
Iowa 204 211 7
Idaho 578 585 7
Massachusetts 13 12 -1
Maryland 52 49 -3
Minnesota 468 460 -8
Nevada 29 29 0
mean 186.8 192.2 5.4
sd 195.444 195.452 8.959

An agricultural researcher wants to conduct a paired difference test to determine if the mean number of milk cows (in thousands) in the US changed between 2011 and 2015.

Round all calculated values to 4 decimal places as appropriate.

1. Which hypotheses should be used to conduct the test?

A. H0:diff=0H0:diff=0 vs. Ha:diff<0Ha:diff<0 B. H0:diff=0H0:diff=0 vs. Ha:diff0Ha:diff0 C. H0:diff<5.4H0:diff<5.4 vs. Ha:diff>5.4Ha:diff>5.4 D. H0:diff=0H0:diff=0 vs. Ha:diff>0Ha:diff>0

Round all calculated values to 4 decimal places as appropriate.

2. Assume the conditions for the hypothesis test are met and find the test statistic and the p-value.test statistic = p-value =

3. Based on the p value we have ?????? evidence that the null model is not a good fit for our observed data.

Little,

Some,

Strong,

Very Strong

Extremely Strong

4. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the mean difference in the number of milk cows (in thousands) between 2011 and 2015.( , )

Round all calculated values to 4 decimal places as appropriate.

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