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Date Sales Mar-02 1,866 Jun-02 1,666 Sep-02 2,351 Dec-02 2,455 Mar-03 2,169 Jun-03 1,815 Sep-03 2,498 Dec-03 2,637 Mar-04 2,326 Jun-04 2,020 Sep-04 2,858 Dec-04
Date | Sales |
Mar-02 | 1,866 |
Jun-02 | 1,666 |
Sep-02 | 2,351 |
Dec-02 | 2,455 |
Mar-03 | 2,169 |
Jun-03 | 1,815 |
Sep-03 | 2,498 |
Dec-03 | 2,637 |
Mar-04 | 2,326 |
Jun-04 | 2,020 |
Sep-04 | 2,858 |
Dec-04 | 2,915 |
Mar-05 | 2,725 |
Jun-05 | 2,283 |
Sep-05 | 3,134 |
Dec-05 | 3,066 |
Mar-06 | 2,876 |
Jun-06 | 2,445 |
Sep-06 | 3,190 |
Dec-06 | 3,407 |
Mar-07 | 3,197 |
Jun-07 | 2,575 |
Sep-07 | 3,290 |
Dec-07 | 3,693 |
Mar-08 | 3,273 |
Jun-08 | 2,713 |
Sep-08 | 3,514 |
Dec-08 | 3,794 |
Mar-09 | 3,480 |
Jun-09 | 2,943 |
Sep-09 | 3,654 |
Dec-09 | 4,108 |
Mar-10 | 3,628 |
Jun-10 | 3,203 |
Sep-10 | 4,051 |
Dec-10 | 4,010 |
Mar-11 | 3,719 |
Jun-11 | 3,084 |
Sep-11 | 4,234 |
Dec-11 | 4,073 |
Mar-12 | 3,983 |
Jun-12 | 3,132 |
Sep-12 | 4,328 |
Dec-12 | 4,007 |
Mar-13 | 3,969 |
Jun-13 | 3,257 |
Sep-13 | 4,824 |
Dec-13 | 4,129 |
Mar-14 | 4,298 |
Jun-14 | 3,312 |
Sep-14 | 4,811 |
Dec-14 | 4,336 |
Mar-15 | 4,261 |
Jun-15 | 3,278 |
Sep-15 | 4,991 |
Dec-15 | 4,447 |
a. Plot these data and examine the plot. Does this view of the data suggest a particular smoothing model? Do the data appear to be seasonal? Explain?
b. Use an exponential smoothing method to forecast the next four quarters. Plot the actual and forecast values.
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