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Demand history for the past three years is shown below, along with the seasonal indices for each quarter. Year Quarter Demand Seasonal Index Year 1

Demand history for the past three years is shown below, along with the seasonal indices for each quarter.

Year Quarter Demand Seasonal Index
Year 1 Q1 319 0.762
Q2 344 0.836
Q3 523 1.309
Q4 435 1.103
Year 2 Q1 327 0.762
Q2 341 0.836
Q3 537 1.309
Q4 506 1.103
Year 3 Q1 307 0.762
Q2 349 0.836
Q3 577 1.309
Q4 438 1.103

Use exponential smoothing with alpha () = 0.35 and an initial forecast of 417 along with seasonality to calculate the Year 4, Q1 forecast.

what is year 4, Q1 forecast?

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