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DIRECTION & REQUIREMENT/S Maya is considering investing some money that he inherited. The following payoff table gives the profits that would be realized during the

DIRECTION &

REQUIREMENT/S

Maya is considering investing some money that he inherited. The following payoff table gives the profits that would be realized during the next year for each of three investment alternatives Maya is considering:

State of Nature

Decision Alternative

Good Economy

Poor Economy

1- Stock Market

85,000

-10,000

2- Bonds

43,000

30,000

3- Cds

22,000

22,000

Probability

0.5

0.5

a. Calculate the EMV criterion.

b. Prepare the EVPI.

c. Develop the opportunity loss table for this situation. What decisions would be made using the minimum EOL criterion?

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