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Discuss the predictability of end-of-financial year returns implied by the event study results with specific reference to tax-loss selling and window dressing. (5 marks)

 Discuss the predictability of end-of-financial year returns implied by the event study results with specific reference to "tax-loss selling" and "window dressing". (5 marks)

                                                                
Obs.[-15,0][+1,+15][15,+15]

June/July event windows

All

 

356

-0.0009-0.0007-0.0016
(-0.3045)(-0.275)(-0.4589)

(a)

Past winners

 

>0

2520.0053-0.00300.0023
(1.6188)(-1.1007)(0.622)

Past losers

 

<0

104-0.0161**0.0050-0.0111
(-2.3562)(1.0258)(-1.406)

(b)

Past winners in up-markets

 

>0 & >0

206

 

0.0030**-0.0036-0.0006
(0.9206)(-1.3979)(-0.1648)

Past winners in down-markets

 

>0 & <0

46

 

0.0159-0.00050.0155
(1.4698)(-0.047)(1.4278)

Past losers in up-markets

 

<0 &>0

50

 

-0.0248***0.0042-0.0206
(-2.5347)(0.668)(-2.1384)

Past losers in down-markets

 

<0 & <0

54-0.0081*0.0058-0.0024
(-0.8523)(0.7739)(-0.191)


  1. Based on the event study results, recommend an end-of-financial year trading strategy. Assume there are no short-selling constraints. (5 mark
  2. Identify the practical limitations to implementing your recommended end-of-financial year trading strategy. (3 marks)

  •  

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