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Download the State Crime Excel sheet; row 2 gives detailed descriptions of each variable, while row 4 gives short versions that should be used in

Download the "State Crime" Excel sheet; row 2 gives detailed descriptions of each variable, while row 4 gives short versions that should be used in your regressions. Estimate the following multiple regression models (remember that all of your independent variables will have to be in adjacent columns in Excel). Look at each set of results critically and consider how you would interpret the strengths and weaknesses of each model. Save your results from each model for use when completing the end-of-module assessment. Use "Robbery" as your dependent variable in each model. The notation f(X, Y, Z) means "a function of X, Y, Z; i.e., X, Y, and Z are your independent variables. Even though it isn't listed, each model will include an intercept. NOTE: when Excel reports a value like 2.4E-06, this is scientific notation for 2.4 * (10^-6), or 0.0000024.

Model A: Robbery = f(%Metro, %Poverty, Rain)

Model B: Robbery = f(Population, %SameHouse, MedianAge)

Model C: Robbery = f(Population, %SameHouse, MedAgeMale)

Model D: Robbery = f(Population, %SameHouse, MedAgeFemale)

Model E: Robbery = f(CarTheft, %Unemploy, %Bachelors+, Temp)

Model F: Robbery = f(CarTheft, %Unemploy, %Bachelors+, Sun)

Model G: Robbery = f(CarTheft, %Unemploy, %Bachelors+, Rain)

The state of South Iowa currently has a robbery rate of 77.5, a 186.3 CarTheft rate, a "%Unemploy" rate of 3.7 (be sure to use 3.7 consistent with the underlying data, not 3.7% or 0.037; be careful of the units on all the variables), a "%Bachelors+" rate of 34.1%, and an average annual temperature of 57.8. Recent economic changes have led to the unemployment rate rising to 4.6. This change will likely be associated with the Robbery rate changing from about 77.5 robberies (per 100,000 inhabitants) to about __???????_robberies.

Table 5, Crime in the United States by State, 2019, Rate per 100,000 inhabitants Non-crime variables; units are as specified in row 2 descriptors
Violent crime Aggravated assault Murder and nonnegligent manslaughter Robbery Property crime Burglary Larceny-theft Motor vehicle theft Total state population Per capita disposable personal income, $ % of state population living in a metropolitan area % 25 years old and older with a bachelor's degree or higher unemployment rate, % % below poverty line average annual temperature, degrees F # of sunny days per year average annual rainfall, inches % living in same house one year ago Median age Median age, Male Median age, Female % 18-24/18-64, % of the 18-to-64 year old population that is a young adult (18-24 years old) % male 18-24/18-64, % of the 18-to-64 year old male population that is a young adult male (18-24 years old) % female 18-24/18-64, % of the 18-to-64 year old female population that is a young adult female (18-24 years old)
https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2019/crime-in-the-u.s.-2019/downloads/download-printable-files
State Violent Assault Murder Robbery PropCrime Burglary Larceny CarTheft Population PerCapIncome %Metro %Bachelors+ %Unemploy %Poverty Temp Sun Rain %SameHouse MedianAge MedAgeMale MedAgeFemale %young %youngmale %youngfemale
ALABAMA 510.8 381.0 7.3 80.4 2,674.4 531.9 1,886.1 256.5 4,903,185 39956 76.1% 26.3% 3 15.6 62.8 99 58.3 86.3 39 36.9 39.8 16.2% 16.7% 15.8%
ARIZONA 455.3 311.9 5.0 88.1 2,440.5 394.3 1,796.9 249.4 7,278,717 41266 95.2% 30.2% 4.9 13.5 60.3 193 13.6 82.6 37.7 35.5 38.1 16.7% 17.3% 16.1%
ARKANSAS 584.6 447.8 8.0 51.6 2,858.0 599.6 2,012.6 245.9 3,017,804 40278 63.4% 23.3% 3.5 16 60.4 123 50.6 84.6 38.1 36.3 39 16.2% 16.6% 15.8%
CALIFORNIA 441.2 267.1 4.3 132.4 2,331.2 386.1 1,586.3 358.8 39,512,223 57497 97.9% 35.0% 4.2 11.8 59.4 146 22.2 87.1 36.5 34.6 37 16.4% 16.9% 16.0%
COLORADO 381.0 246.3 3.8 63.6 2,590.7 348.4 1,858.3 384.0 5,758,736 53704 87.6% 42.7% 2.7 9.4 45.1 136 15.9 82.0 36.7 35.5 37.5 15.0% 15.5% 14.6%
CONNECTICUT 183.6 105.0 2.9 54.1 1,426.6 180.7 1,078.7 167.3 3,565,287 65906 83.2% 39.8% 3.6 9.9 49 82 50.3 87.9 41 38.8 42.1 15.3% 16.0% 14.6%
DELAWARE 422.6 304.7 4.9 81.1 2,252.2 304.8 1,782.7 164.7 973,764 47978 100.0% 33.2% 3.7 11.2 55.3 97 45.7 87.4 40.6 37.9 41 16.0% 16.5% 15.6%
FLORIDA 378.4 258.3 5.2 75.5 2,145.7 295.2 1,668.7 181.8 21,477,737 46339 96.8% 30.7% 3.3 12.7 70.7 101 54.5 84.5 42 40 42.9 15.0% 15.6% 14.5%
GEORGIA 340.7 232.0 6.2 75.0 2,375.8 372.1 1,779.8 223.9 10,617,423 42863 83.1% 32.5% 3.5 13.5 63.5 112 50.7 84.9 36.7 34.7 37.3 16.0% 16.7% 15.4%
IDAHO 223.8 167.9 2.0 8.7 1,219.5 219.7 911.8 87.9 1,787,065 41632 74.3% 28.7% 2.8 11 44.4 120 18.9 82.8 36.4 34.6 36.2 16.3% 16.6% 16.0%
ILLINOIS 406.9 254.0 6.6 98.4 1,846.5 271.7 1,426.6 148.2 12,671,821 51706 88.8% 35.8% 4 11.4 51.8 95 39.2 87.3 38.1 35.9 38.6 15.5% 15.9% 15.0%
INDIANA 370.8 249.3 5.6 79.2 1,971.0 323.7 1,443.4 203.8 6,732,219 43960 78.2% 26.9% 3.2 11.9 51.7 88 41.7 85.3 37.7 36 38.6 16.5% 16.9% 16.1%
IOWA 266.6 200.4 1.9 27.4 1,733.7 371.1 1,199.6 163.0 3,155,070 46508 61.4% 29.3% 2.8 11 47.8 105 34 85.2 38.2 36.6 39.4 17.0% 17.4% 16.7%
KANSAS 410.8 314.2 3.6 44.4 2,314.5 342.7 1,721.9 249.9 2,913,314 47909 69.5% 34.0% 3.2 11.3 54.3 128 28.9 83.8 36.7 34.8 37.4 17.0% 17.6% 16.4%
KENTUCKY 217.1 128.6 4.9 48.4 1,897.4 345.7 1,323.5 228.2 4,467,673 39238 59.6% 25.1% 4.1 16 55.6 93 48.9 84.9 38.9 37 39.8 15.7% 16.1% 15.2%
LOUISIANA 549.3 402.1 11.7 86.6 3,162.0 579.0 2,352.4 230.5 4,648,794 43157 84.2% 25.0% 4.7 18.8 66.4 101 60.1 87.2 36.9 34.8 37.4 16.3% 16.7% 16.0%
MAINE 115.2 61.3 1.5 14.0 1,245.6 174.8 1,016.7 54.0 1,344,212 45455 59.5% 33.2% 2.7 10.9 41 101 42.2 86.6 44.7 42.6 45 13.8% 14.3% 13.3%
MARYLAND 454.1 261.3 9.0 152.2 1,950.2 278.9 1,485.0 186.2 6,045,680 56041 97.5% 40.9% 3.5 9.1 54.2 105 44.5 86.4 38.7 36.6 39.8 14.9% 15.6% 14.2%
MASSACHUSETTS 327.6 241.0 2.2 52.4 1,179.8 179.0 911.8 89.0 6,892,503 62942 99.6% 45.0% 3 9.5 47.9 98 47.7 87.3 39.5 37.8 40.8 16.1% 16.5% 15.8%
MICHIGAN 437.4 305.9 5.6 53.6 1,585.0 286.1 1,121.3 177.7 9,986,857 43787 82.0% 30.0% 4.1 12.9 44.4 71 32.8 86.2 39.7 38.1 40.9 16.5% 16.9% 16.0%
MINNESOTA 236.4 135.1 2.1 55.8 2,078.8 282.4 1,597.5 198.9 5,639,632 51079 77.9% 37.3% 3.2 8.9 41.2 95 27.3 85.9 38 36.6 38.7 15.0% 15.2% 14.8%
MISSISSIPPI 277.9 184.6 11.2 57.1 2,375.8 627.0 1,555.7 193.1 2,976,149 35791 48.4% 22.3% 5.5 19.5 63.4 111 59 86.9 37.5 35 37.9 17.1% 17.7% 16.6%
MISSOURI 495.0 357.4 9.3 80.8 2,638.7 430.4 1,865.0 343.3 6,137,428 43529 75.1% 30.2% 3.3 12.9 54.5 115 42.2 84.8 38.6 36.7 39.6 16.0% 16.4% 15.5%
MONTANA 404.9 324.9 2.5 19.2 2,193.2 270.1 1,700.6 222.4 1,068,778 44457 35.8% 33.6% 3.6 12.6 42.7 82 15.3 84.1 39.9 38.7 41.1 15.9% 16.5% 15.3%
NEBRASKA 300.9 192.9 2.3 40.9 2,039.3 245.3 1,536.3 257.7 1,934,408 49082 65.4% 33.2% 3 9.9 48.8 117 23.6 84.1 36.5 35.1 37.4 16.5% 16.8% 16.2%
NEVADA 493.8 312.3 4.6 106.7 2,322.1 503.5 1,453.0 365.6 3,080,156 45956 90.9% 25.7% 3.9 12.7 49.9 158 9.5 82.1 38 36.7 37.9 14.5% 14.6% 14.3%
NEW HAMPSHIRE 152.5 83.7 2.4 23.0 1,209.2 126.3 1,017.3 65.7 1,359,711 56978 63.1% 37.6% 2.6 7.5 43.8 90 43.4 86.1 42.9 41.4 43.3 15.1% 15.4% 14.8%
NEW JERSEY 206.9 122.2 2.9 64.5 1,335.7 184.6 1,034.7 116.4 8,882,190 61023 100.0% 41.2% 3.4 9.1 52.7 94 47.1 89.8 39.9 37.8 41 14.3% 14.9% 13.6%
NEW MEXICO 832.2 650.5 8.6 111.6 3,112.7 696.8 1,988.8 427.2 2,096,829 39441 67.3% 27.7% 5 17.5 53.4 167 14.6 86.7 37.8 35.5 38.4 16.5% 17.1% 15.9%
NEW YORK 358.6 229.0 2.9 92.9 1,373.3 141.9 1,166.1 65.3 19,453,561 60329 93.0% 37.8% 3.8 13.1 45.4 63 41.8 89.5 38.8 36.6 39.8 15.8% 16.3% 15.3%
NORTH CAROLINA 371.8 262.4 6.0 72.5 2,357.3 519.1 1,666.0 172.2 10,488,084 42513 81.1% 32.3% 3.8 13.6 59 109 50.3 84.8 38.7 36.6 39.5 15.9% 16.8% 15.1%
NORTH DAKOTA 284.6 200.6 3.1 23.5 1,977.0 342.2 1,399.6 235.2 762,062 51669 50.2% 30.4% 2.3 10.5 40.4 93 17.8 82.2 35.1 34.2 36.7 19.8% 20.3% 19.3%
OHIO 293.2 163.9 4.6 75.7 2,055.7 375.5 1,520.4 159.7 11,689,100 44838 80.3% 29.3% 4.2 13 50.7 72 39.1 85.3 39.4 37.7 40.7 15.6% 16.0% 15.2%
OKLAHOMA 431.8 307.9 6.7 59.9 2,845.3 671.7 1,835.5 338.1 3,956,971 42991 66.6% 26.2% 3.1 15.1 59.6 139 36.5 83.2 36.6 34.9 37.5 16.7% 17.1% 16.2%
OREGON 284.4 185.5 2.8 54.0 2,730.6 349.1 2,021.5 360.0 4,217,737 46386 84.0% 34.5% 3.7 11.5 48.4 68 27.4 82.9 39.3 37.9 40.1 14.8% 15.1% 14.5%
PENNSYLVANIA 306.4 191.1 5.2 76.1 1,403.4 182.4 1,124.2 96.8 12,801,989 51473 88.7% 32.3% 4.5 12 48.8 87 42.9 87.6 40.8 38.9 42.1 15.8% 16.1% 15.4%
RHODE ISLAND 221.1 132.9 2.4 39.5 1,534.8 219.1 1,187.5 128.2 1,059,361 50081 100.0% 34.8% 3.6 11.6 50.1 98 47.9 87.4 39.9 38.1 41.6 17.5% 17.8% 17.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA 511.3 390.5 9.0 64.0 2,940.3 533.4 2,116.1 290.8 5,148,714 40874 85.7% 29.6% 2.8 13.9 62.4 115 49.8 85.7 39.4 37 40.1 16.4% 17.2% 15.6%
SOUTH DAKOTA 399.0 302.5 1.9 22.0 1,771.0 299.1 1,273.4 198.5 884,659 49462 48.1% 29.7% 3 11.9 45.2 104 20.1 84.2 37 35.6 37.9 16.6% 16.9% 16.3%
TENNESSEE 595.2 456.7 7.3 90.1 2,652.6 437.4 1,934.4 280.9 6,829,174 44724 78.3% 28.7% 3.4 13.8 57.6 102 54.2 85.5 38.7 37.1 39.8 15.5% 16.0% 15.1%
TEXAS 418.9 263.0 4.9 100.0 2,390.7 392.8 1,730.6 267.2 28,995,881 47705 89.3% 30.8% 3.5 13.6 64.8 135 28.9 84.4 34.6 33.1 35 16.5% 17.0% 15.9%
UTAH 235.6 141.4 2.2 35.1 2,169.3 276.7 1,682.4 210.2 3,205,958 43533 89.6% 34.8% 2.5 8.8 48.6 125 12.2 83.1 30.8 29.6 30.6 19.4% 19.4% 19.3%
VERMONT 202.2 144.6 1.8 11.4 1,424.4 204.3 1,172.3 47.8 623,989 49507 35.5% 38.7% 2.3 10.1 42.9 58 42.7 86.7 42.9 41.1 43.5 16.7% 17.4% 16.1%
VIRGINIA 208.0 128.7 5.0 41.3 1,642.7 162.8 1,359.5 120.3 8,535,519 52015 87.7% 39.6% 2.7 9.9 55.1 100 44.3 84.7 38.2 36.4 39 15.5% 16.1% 15.0%
WASHINGTON 293.9 179.9 2.6 67.6 2,681.9 453.6 1,907.9 320.5 7,614,893 58077 89.8% 37.0% 4.1 9.8 48.3 58 38.4 82.3 37.7 36.5 38.6 15.0% 15.5% 14.6%
WEST VIRGINIA 316.6 249.1 4.4 21.1 1,583.4 328.7 1,119.7 135.0 1,792,147 38399 64.5% 21.1% 4.9 16.2 51.8 60 45.2 88.3 42.5 40.5 43 15.0% 15.4% 14.6%
WISCONSIN 293.2 200.0 3.0 51.4 1,471.4 217.6 1,127.0 126.8 5,822,434 47264 74.7% 31.3% 3.3 10.4 43.1 89 32.6 86.0 39.5 37.8 40.1 15.7% 15.9% 15.5%
WYOMING 217.4 147.6 2.2 11.6 1,571.1 241.2 1,206.7 123.2 578,759 55858 31.0% 29.1% 3.7 9.9 42 114 12.9 83.2 37.7 36.1 37.6 16.0% 16.4% 15.7%

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