Question
Dumoulin SA is a privately held company in the neighborhood of Lyon, which produces flour for all types of customers. Sales in year 2020 amounted
Dumoulin SA is a privately held company in the neighborhood of Lyon, which produces flour for all types of customers.
Sales in year 2020 amounted to 292,1 million euros, up 33%, and the operational margin reached 2,6%.
The Good-bread SA company is very interested in acquiring Dumoulin SA and would like to make an interesting offer to the shareholders. For the time being, Good-bread SA did not approach Dumoulin SA management, and is trying to assess its target.
M. Bloch, Good-bread's CFO, obtained a confidential documentusing a contact working at Dumoulin SA: The business plan for an investment in a new mill.
Among other things, the business plan provided some useful information :
A projected Income Statement for the coming 5 years
An evaluation of Dumoulin SA current Net Debt (15,6 millions )
The Weighted Average Cost of Capital for Dumoulin SA (12,5%)
Various assumptions related to the "mill project" (rate of growth to infinity = 1,5%) Additional details were available to compute a first assessment of Dumoulin SA.
Business Plan (m)
2020
2021e
2022e
2023e
2024e
2025e
Sales (growth rate)
292,1
(32,7%)
359,2
(23,0%)
320,8
(-10,7%)
323,5
(0,8%)
326,5
(0,9%)
329,5
(0,9%)
Gross Margin
(% of sales)
30,3
(10,4%)
35,6
(9,9%)
31,8
(9,9%)
33,1
(10,2%)
34,7
(10,6%)
35,1
(10,6%)
EBIT
(% of sales)
7,6
(2,6%)
11,4
(3,2%)
7,6
(2,4%)
8,6
(2,6%)
9,6
(3,0%)
9,9
(3,0%)
Corporate Taxe (34,4%)
-2,6
-3,9
-2,6
-2,9
-3,3
-3,4
EBIT after tax
5,0
7,5
5,0
5,6
6,3
6,5
Depreciation Charge Investments
0,2
-0,2
0,2
-0,2
0,2
-0,2
0,2
-0,2
0,2
-0,2
0,2
-0,2
Working Capital
(% of sales)
38,0
46,7
(13,0%)
41,7
(13,0%)
42,1
(13,0%)
42,4
(13,0%)
42,8
(13,0%)
1- how do i Compute the expected Free Cash-Flow in the Income Statement document.
2-Assess the Terminal Value of Dumoulin SA (end date of the business plan + 1 year).
Gordon Shapiro formula allows to calculate the Terminal Value (TV) based on an estimated growth rate to infinity, the Wacc and a standardised flow (F).
M. Bloch has decided to calculate F based on the projected EBIT after tax for 2025 + a growth rate of 1,5%.
3-Using the discounted cash-flow (DCF) method to estimate the value of Dumoulin SA. (4pts) 4- What do you consider as the main benefit of the DCF method ?
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