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egina is a Project Manager at a cracker factory, and is deciding which of three vendors to use to install a new cracker boxing machine.

egina is a Project Manager at a cracker factory, and is deciding which of three vendors to use to install a new cracker boxing machine.
There is a 50% chance that Vendor A can complete the job in 7 weeks, a 25% chance that they will take 9 weeks, and a 25% chance they will take 14 weeks.
Vendor B can deliver and install in 5 weeks if everything 'goes extremely well'...which has a 20% chance of happening. They estimate a 40% chance that there will be 'significant shipping issues' which would result in the project taking 18 weeks. Under all other conditions the project will take 11 weeks.
Finally, Vendor C 'guarantees' installation by week 10.
Regina's goal is to find the vendor with the earliest expected completion time.

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