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Either someone knows the answer with absolute certainty or he guesses at random. Let p represent the likelihood that he knows the answer to each
Either someone knows the answer with absolute certainty or he guesses at random. Let p represent the likelihood that he knows the answer to each given question, and m represent the number of multiple choice options (possible responses) for each question. Give a formula for the conditional likelihood that Nathan understood the answer to a question if he answered it correctly in terms of p and m.
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