Ernest has never had a vacation. He is a partner, and very hard worker, at his architecture firm in Hamilton. After years of putting off some relaxation time, he decides to book a vacation to a quiet fishing resort in Alaska in the summer, July 2019. He pays $8,000 to Air United Vacations. For the next six months, Ernest is excited about the vacation. He is so excited that he posts about it on Facebook, has an Alaska vacation party, and starts posting photos of Alaska all over his office. On June 4, 2019, a huge storm hits Alaska and the quite fishing resort is totally destroyed and washed away into the sea. Air United Vacations phones Ernest and offers him a 50% refund on what he paid for the vacation due to the inconvenience. Ernest is devastated, he was looking forward to this vacation for all of his life. Ernest decides to sue Air United Vacations for the rest of his $8,000 payment for the vacation and for the lost enjoyment he foresaw he would have at the Alaskan resort.

1. Analyze and explain the likelihood of Ernest being successful in this lawsuit, including the arguments of Air United Vacations.