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Estimate and interpret the linear trend model with seasonal dummy variables. Use the estimated model to make a consumer sentiment index forecast for December 2018.
Estimate and interpret the linear trend model with seasonal dummy variables.
Use the estimated model to make a consumer sentiment index forecast for December 2018.
Date | Consumer Sentiment |
Jan-10 | 74.4 |
Feb-10 | 73.6 |
Mar-10 | 73.6 |
Apr-10 | 72.2 |
May-10 | 73.6 |
Jun-10 | 76.0 |
Jul-10 | 67.8 |
Aug-10 | 68.9 |
Sep-10 | 68.2 |
Oct-10 | 67.7 |
Nov-10 | 71.6 |
Dec-10 | 74.5 |
Jan-11 | 74.2 |
Feb-11 | 77.5 |
Mar-11 | 67.5 |
Apr-11 | 69.8 |
May-11 | 74.3 |
Jun-11 | 71.5 |
Jul-11 | 63.7 |
Aug-11 | 55.8 |
Sep-11 | 59.5 |
Oct-11 | 60.8 |
Nov-11 | 63.7 |
Dec-11 | 69.9 |
Jan-12 | 75.0 |
Feb-12 | 75.3 |
Mar-12 | 76.2 |
Apr-12 | 76.4 |
May-12 | 79.3 |
Jun-12 | 73.2 |
Jul-12 | 72.3 |
Aug-12 | 74.3 |
Sep-12 | 78.3 |
Oct-12 | 82.6 |
Nov-12 | 82.7 |
Dec-12 | 72.9 |
Jan-13 | 73.8 |
Feb-13 | 77.6 |
Mar-13 | 78.6 |
Apr-13 | 76.4 |
May-13 | 84.5 |
Jun-13 | 84.1 |
Jul-13 | 85.1 |
Aug-13 | 82.1 |
Sep-13 | 77.5 |
Oct-13 | 73.2 |
Nov-13 | 75.1 |
Dec-13 | 82.5 |
Jan-14 | 81.2 |
Feb-14 | 81.6 |
Mar-14 | 80.0 |
Apr-14 | 84.1 |
May-14 | 81.9 |
Jun-14 | 82.5 |
Jul-14 | 81.8 |
Aug-14 | 82.5 |
Sep-14 | 84.6 |
Oct-14 | 86.9 |
Nov-14 | 88.8 |
Dec-14 | 93.6 |
Jan-15 | 98.1 |
Feb-15 | 95.4 |
Mar-15 | 93.0 |
Apr-15 | 95.9 |
May-15 | 90.7 |
Jun-15 | 96.1 |
Jul-15 | 93.1 |
Aug-15 | 91.9 |
Sep-15 | 87.2 |
Oct-15 | 90.0 |
Nov-15 | 91.3 |
Dec-15 | 92.6 |
Jan-16 | 92.0 |
Feb-16 | 91.7 |
Mar-16 | 91.0 |
Apr-16 | 89.0 |
May-16 | 94.7 |
Jun-16 | 93.5 |
Jul-16 | 90.0 |
Aug-16 | 89.8 |
Sep-16 | 91.2 |
Oct-16 | 87.2 |
Nov-16 | 93.8 |
Dec-16 | 98.2 |
Jan-17 | 98.5 |
Feb-17 | 96.3 |
Mar-17 | 96.9 |
Apr-17 | 97.0 |
May-17 | 97.1 |
Jun-17 | 95.0 |
Jul-17 | 93.4 |
Aug-17 | 96.8 |
Sep-17 | 95.1 |
Oct-17 | 100.7 |
Nov-17 | 98.5 |
Dec-17 | 95.9 |
Jan-18 | 95.7 |
Feb-18 | 99.7 |
Mar-18 | 101.4 |
Apr-18 | 98.8 |
May-18 | 98.0 |
Jun-18 | 98.2 |
Jul-18 | 97.9 |
Aug-18 | 96.2 |
Sep-18 | 100.1 |
Oct-18 | 98.6 |
Nov-18 | 97.5 |
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