Question
Estimating Share Value Using the ROPI Model Assume following are forecasts of Abercrombie & Fitch's sales, net operating profit after tax (NOPAT), and net operating
Estimating Share Value Using the ROPI Model Assume following are forecasts of Abercrombie & Fitch's sales, net operating profit after tax (NOPAT), and net operating assets (NOA) as of January 29, 2011. Refer to the information in the table to answer the following requirements.
Reported | Horizon Period | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(In millions) | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Terminal Period |
Sales | $ 3,750 | $ 4,500 | $ 5,400 | $ 6,480 | $ 7,776 | $ 7,853 |
NOPAT | 464 | 582 | 650 | 818 | 965 | 995 |
NOA | 1,359 | 1,631 | 1,935 | 2,311 | 2,760 | 2,826 |
Answer the following requirements assuming a discount rate (WACC) of 13.3%, a terminal period growth rate of 1%, common shares outstanding of 86.2 million, and net nonoperating obligations (NNO) of $(279) million (negative NNO reflects net nonoperating assets such as investments rather than net obligations). (a) Estimate the value of a share of Abercrombie & Fitch common stock using the residual operating income (ROPI) model as of January 29, 2011. Use your rounded answers for subsequent calculations.
Reported | Horizon Period | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(In millions) | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Terminal Period |
ROPI (NOPAT - [NOABeg rw]) (rounded to nearest whole number) | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | |
Discount factor [1 / (1 + rw)t ] (rounded to 5 decimal places) | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | ||
Present value of horizon ROPI(rounded to nearest whole number) | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | ||
Cum present value of horizon ROPI | $ Answer | (use rounded numbers from above to calculate) | ||||
Present value of terminal ROPI | Answer | (rounded to nearest whole number) | ||||
NOA | Answer | |||||
Total firm value | Answer | |||||
NNO (negative NNO) | Answer | |||||
Firm equity value | $Answer | |||||
Shares outstanding (millions) | Answer | (rounded to one decimal place) | ||||
Stock price per share | $Answer | (rounded to two decimal places) |
(b) Assume Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) stock closed at $77.56 on March 2, 2011. How does your valuation estimate compare with this closing price? What do you believe are some reasons for the difference?
Stock prices are a function of many factors. It is impossible to speculate on the reasons for the difference.
Our stock price estimate is lower than the ANF market price, indicating that we believe that ANF stock is undervalued. Stock prices are a function of expected NOPAT and NOA, as well as the WACC discount rate. Our lower stock price estimate might be due to more optimistic forecasts or a lower discount rate compared to other investors' and analysts' model assumptions.
Our stock price estimate is lower than the ANF market price, indicating that we believe that ANF stock is overvalued. Stock prices are a function of expected NOPAT and NOA, as well as the WACC discount rate. Our lower stock price estimate might be due to more optimistic forecasts or a lower discount rate compared to other investors' and analysts' model assumptions.
Our stock price estimate is lower than the ANF market price, indicating that we believe that ANF stock is overvalued. Stock prices are a function of expected NOPAT and NOA, as well as the WACC discount rate. Our lower stock price estimate might be due to more pessimistic forecasts or a higher discount rate compared to other investors' and analysts' model assumptions.
Step by Step Solution
There are 3 Steps involved in it
Step: 1
Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions
See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success
Step: 2
Step: 3
Ace Your Homework with AI
Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance
Get Started