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Estimating the 1-year forward rate Suppose the interest rate on a 1-year T-bond is 2% and that on a 2-year T-bond is 4%. Assume that
Estimating the 1-year forward rate Suppose the interest rate on a 1-year T-bond is 2% and that on a 2-year T-bond is 4%. Assume that the pure expectations theory is NOT valid, and the MRP is zero for a 1-year T-bond but 0.65% for a 2-year bond. What is the equilibrium market forecast for 1-year rates 1 year from now?
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