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Estimating the expected return of Olivia inc. stock. You estimate the return is expected to be -11% in a recession, 7% in normal times and
Estimating the expected return of Olivia inc. stock. You estimate the return is expected to be -11% in a recession, 7% in normal times and 23% in an expansion. Given a 30% change of recession, 50% chance of normal and 20% chance of expansion. What is the expected return on this stock?
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