Question
European wholesaler of shopper merchandise has recruited you to improve their estimating capacities. The CEO, George has entrusted you with concocting quarterly figures for a
European wholesaler of shopper merchandise has recruited you to improve their estimating capacities. The CEO, George has entrusted you with concocting quarterly figures for a thing that seems to have level, irregularity, and pattern. While the organization has some data, nobody understands what the boundaries (, , or ) are.
You have a few data that George gave you. For instance, you realize that verifiably, the interest in each quarter follows this circulation: - D1 (Jan-Mar) = 60% of normal quarterly interest - D2 (April-June) = 80% of normal quarterly interest - D3 (July-Sep) = 140% of normal quarterly interest D4 (Oct-Dec) = 120% of normal quarterly interest.
You just ran the gauge toward the finish of September (end of Twenty Fifteen D3) and you have the accompanying estimations:
For level: a^Twenty Fifteen D3 = 1051 units
For trend: b^Twenty Fifteen D3= 40.5 units per quarter
*Please display step-by-step*
P1
What is your forecast order for Twenty Fifteen D4? In other words, what is x^Twenty Fifteen D3, Twenty Fifteen D4? Your answer must be round to two decimal spots.
P2
Assume the genuine order in Twenty Fifteen D4 is 1050 units. What is the smallest possible value for your estimate for level, a^ Twenty Fifteen D4? Your answer must be adjusted to two decimal spots.
P3
The model was run at the end of Twenty Fifteen D4. It provided you with the most recent estimates of each pattern. The estimate for level, a^ Twenty Fifteen D4 was 1067.8. What is the estimation of ? Your answer must be round to two decimal spots.
P4
The model was run at the end of Twenty Fifteen D4. The estimate for trend, Twenty Fifteen D4 was found to be 39.6. What is the estimation of ? Your answer must be adjusted to two decimal spots.
P5
The model was run toward the finish ofTwenty Fifteen D4. The estimate for seasonality, Twenty Fifteen D4 was found to be 1.189, before any normalization was done. What is the estimation of ? Your answer must be adjusted to two decimal spots.
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