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Eva l ua t ing cash flows with the NPV metho d The process often begins with project analysis. Generally, the first step in project

Evaluating cash flows with the NPV method

The process often begins with project analysis. Generally, the first step in project analysis before using any evaluation method is to estimate the 1) projects expected cash flows, 2) revenues from all new projects or 3) companys net income. The net present value (NPV) rule is considered one of the most common and preferred criteria that generally lead to good investment decisions.

Consider this case:

Suppose Lumbering Ox Truckmakers is evaluating a proposed capital budgeting project (project Beta) that will require an initial investment of $2,750,000. The project is expected to generate the following net cash flows:

Year Cash Flow Year 1 $300,000

Year 2 $450,000

Year 3 $425,000

Year 4 $400,000

Lumbering Ox Truckmakers's weighted average cost of capital is 7%, and project Beta has the same risk as the firm's average project. Based on the cash flows, what is project Beta's NPV?

-1,124,494

-1,709,393

-1,424,494

-4,174,494

Making the accept or reject decision

Lumbering Ox Truckmakers's decision to accept or reject project Beta is independent of its decisions on other

projects. If the firm follows the NPV method, it should accept or reject (which answer) project Beta.

Suppose your boss has asked you to analyze two mutually exclusive projects-project A and project B. Both projects require the same investment amount, and the sum of cash inflows of Project A is larger than the sum of cash inflows of project B. A coworker told you that you don't need to do an NPV analysis of the projects because you already know that project A will have a larger NPV than project B.

Do you agree with your coworkers statement? Which is the answer?

Yes, Project A will always have the largest NPV because its cash inflows are greater than project Bs cash inflows.

No, the NPV calculation will take intoaccount not only the projects cash inflows but also the timing of cash inflows and outflows. Consequently, project B could have a larger NPV than project A, even though project A has larger cash inflows.

No, the NPV calculation is based on percentage returns, so the size of a projects cash flows does not affect a projects NPV.

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