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Everything about the deal was acceptable to Malaysia Airlines and the Boeing Company in January 2 0 2 3 . The final negotiated price for

Everything about the deal was acceptable to Malaysia Airlines and the Boeing Company in January 2023. The final negotiated price for 20 new jets in the 737 series was $600 million (US). Payment was expected upon delivery, scheduled for exactly twelve months later. As Malaysia Airlines CEO, Izham Ismail saw it, there was one major concern: foreign exchange risk. A decision had to be made fast, due to the deteriorating condition of the airlines fleet.
Covenants restricting the ability of Malaysia Airlines to take on new debt made it critical that Mr. Ismail be sure about risk exposure before finalizing the deal.
In the preceding five years, the value of the US dollar had increased to record levels against most international currencies, and the majority of analysts refused to guess when it would stop appreciating. The value of the Malaysian ringgit (MYR) per USD had changed from 1.7 MYR/USD to 3.17 MYR/USD on the scheduled day for signing the contract. This increase was
at the front of the chairmans mind as he thought of ways to put together the US$600 million payment in twelve months. At the current exchange rate of 3.17 MYR/USD, the deal would cost Malaysia Airlines MYR1,902 million. If the dollars appreciation continued to 3.5 MYR/USD, the deal could cost Malaysian Airlines an additional MYR198 million by the time payment was due.
While many analysts predicted a continuing appreciation of the US dollar, several international banks said it was over-valued and that further increases would hurt many national economies especially the US. Congressional leaders were hearing complaints about US exporters finding it increasingly difficult to compete in overseas markets, and the flood of inexpensive imported products was believed to have cost the country up to 3,000,000 jobs. Representatives and
Senators had therefore started mulling over trade protection measures and ways to reign in the dollars value.
Mr. Ismail believed that the value of the USD would start falling before the following January, perhaps from 3.17 MYR/UDS to between 2.45 and 2.50 MYR/USD. But he was uncertain about when the depreciation would start; and if he made a wrong decision, his company could end up paying as high as 4.2 MYR/USD by the following January. He therefore came up with several potential hedging strategies to manage the foreign transaction exposure. After considering his alternatives, Mr. Ismail decided to use one-year forward put option contracts to lock in the pricein MYR. The contracts could affect the entire purchase price or just parts of the agreement. For example, a contract could be secured to lock in the entire purchase price, thus ensuring that he would get a guaranteed forward rate on the entire price in January 2024. On the other hand, Mr.
Ismail could seek a contract that would lock in the exchange rate on only a portion of the purchase price. He would then have to pay any remaining balance using the going exchange rate in January 2024. The airlines bank proposed that 3.20 MYR/USD was a suitable strike rate on which to base the contract. Mr. Ismail agreed with this rate and decided to purchase a 50% put option contract (i.e., the 3.20 MYR/USD rate was guaranteed on only 50% of the purchase
price). The banks fee for the contract was 6% of the guaranteed amount. Using the formula function in EXCEL, calculate the overall cost of the 50% put option strategy at exchange rates ranging from 2.0 MYR/USD to 4.5 MYR/USD at
0.1 MYR increments.

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