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Exercise 4: Bayesian Inference In a pokemon coin factory there has been an error, such that all produced coins show heads with a probability of

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Exercise 4: Bayesian Inference In a pokemon coin factory there has been an error, such that all produced coins show heads with a probability of 70%. You know that in your area the rate of biased coins to unbiased coins is 20% (P(biased) = 0.2). Your son threw his coin 10 times and got tails only 2 times. Calculate the posterior probability that your sons coin is biased

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