Extra Sensory Perception (ESP) is a controversial ability where some people claim to be able to see things or make predictions about future events. Whether or not the existence of ESP is part of one's beliefs, the concept does pose a question that can and has been studied and analyzed using the same statistical methods you will be learning in this class. The classic study involved volunteers whose psychic abilities were tested using five cards with each with a different shape. We will use a standard deck of playing cards differentiating the particular card by suit. Take a deck of cards and select four cards each with a different suit, find a willing partner, and use these cards to test each other's psychic ability. Level of significance = 0.01 H0: P = 0.5, the person is guessing. H1: P > 0.5, then the person has powers of ESP. This is skewed to the right. Let x = the number of correct guesses out of ten attempts.

Estimate the type 1 error rate